Natural gas - still quite contrarian
I'm bearish on commodities but the only commodity that I would consider is natural gas. Compared to the rest of the commodity complex, natural gas remains quite contrarian, with prices hovering near 7-year lows. Unfortunately for the bulls, nothing much has changed since I last wrote about it , about an year ago. The price is roughly what it was when I wrote that article: Encana, a bellwether—I believe the largest natgas E&P in North America—is just a tad bit above when I wrote my prior post: Note that just because prices are low doesn't mean it is a good contrarian opportunity. There is a good reason why natgas is trading where it is. Unlike oil, natgas is localized and there has been massive production from unconventional sources (particularly shale gas). In fact, Big Oil has become gassy over the last few years—not sure if this is good or bad for the industry??—and it isn't shy to spend money on drilling for more gas. Believe it or not, many are drilling even...